| Candidate | Weighted average (%) | State space model %, median value of simulations) |
CEC results (%) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pollster.ge's forecast | Diff with CEC | Pollster.ge's forecast | Diff with CEC | ||
| Salome Zourabichvili | 35 | -4 | 39 | 0 | 39 |
| Grigol Vashadze | 27 | -11 | 25 | -13 | 38 |
| Davit Bakradze | 18 | 7 | 20 | 9 | 11 |
| Davit Usupashvili | 1 | -1 | N/A | N/A | 2 |
| Zurab Japaridze | 3 | 1 | N/A | N/A | 2 |
| Shalva Natelashvili | 5 | 1 | N/A | N/A | 4 |
| Other | 11 | 7 | N/A | N/A | 4 |